
Core PCE at 3.3% and CPI at 332.4 signal no June Fed cut
Manufacturing surveys, a stalled Iran ceasefire, and two consecutive months of rising CPI readings are all pointing toward one outcome: the Federal Reserve
Federal Reserve, ECB, BoJ. Inflation, employment, geopolitics, and trade. The big picture above asset classes.

Manufacturing surveys, a stalled Iran ceasefire, and two consecutive months of rising CPI readings are all pointing toward one outcome: the Federal Reserve

The U.S. labor market is under close scrutiny ahead of the May 2026 Employment Situation report, due June 5, 2026.

The U.S. unemployment rate held steady at 4.3% in April 2026, with economists anticipating it to remain at this level for May, as the upcoming Employment

US inflation accelerated in April 2026, with the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) reaching 3.8%, up from 3.3% in March.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 332.407 in April 2026, with inflation accelerating to a three-year high of 3.8% year-over-year.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached 332.407 in April 2026, driven by the Middle East conflict, rising energy prices, and supply chain disruptions.

US inflation surged in April 2026, with the PCE price index rising 3.8% year-on-year, driven by energy price pressures from the ongoing war with Iran.
The U.S. labor market is showing surprising stability in May 2026, with unemployment anchored at 4.3% despite a modest rise in initial jobless claims to
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released April 2026 CPI data on May 12, 2026, showing a 3.8% year-over-year increase and a 0.6% month-over-month gain.
Federal Reserve officials turned sharply hawkish on May 28, 2026, with Chicago Fed President Austin Goolsby labeling the environment a 'stagflationary shock'
The U.S. unemployment rate held at 4.3% in April 2026, with Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson calling the labor market 'very resilient' and initial
April's Personal Consumption Expenditures price index jumped 3.8% year-over-year, the biggest increase since May 2023, reinforcing a CPI trend that has risen
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