FEDFUNDS Market Brief
The Federal Reserve's benchmark federal funds rate remains stable at 3.50%-3.75%, with the effective rate at 3.62% as of June 10, 2026.
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Macro
May Inflation Accelerates to 4.2%, Shifting Fed Rate Hike Odds and Pressuring Bitcoin
U.S. annual inflation for May 2026 surged to 4.2%, marking the third consecutive month of acceleration and pushing market expectations away from rate cuts
Macro
CPI's 4.2% surge ignites rate hike fears, sending Nasdaq down 4% and mortgage rates to 6.55%
The May Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released on June 10, 2026, revealed headline inflation surged to 4.2% year-over-year, its highest level since May
Macro
CPI Market Brief
U.S. consumer inflation surged to 4.2% year-over-year in May 2026, marking the highest annual reading since April 2023.
Macro
CPI Surges to 4.2%, Repricing Fed Funds to Holds, Not Cuts
Annual inflation hit 4.2% on June 10, 2026, the highest since 2023, alongside a robust May jobs report, causing markets to shift Federal Reserve rate
Macro
CPI Market Brief
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May 2026 surged 0.5% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year, marking the highest annual rate since April 2023, primarily
Macro
Strong Jobs Report Shifts Fed Hike Odds to 43%, Repricing Gold and Equities
Market expectations for Federal Reserve policy have dramatically shifted, with futures now pricing a 43% chance of a quarter-point rate hike by December 2026.
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Macro
May CPI surges to 4.2%, driving 10Y yield higher and Bitcoin down 3.5%
U.S. annual inflation accelerated to 4.2% in May 2026, its highest level since April 2023, primarily fueled by a significant jump in energy prices.
Macro
Headline CPI Accelerates to 4.2%, Forcing a Hawkish Repricing for Fed Funds
The May 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released on June 10, 2026, revealed headline inflation accelerating to a three-year high of 4.2% year-over-year.
Macro
Strong May Jobs Report Pushes 10-Year Yield to 4.52%, Delaying Fed Rate Cuts to 2027
The May employment report, released on June 5, 2026, significantly exceeded expectations by adding 172,000 nonfarm jobs, propelling the 10-year Treasury yield
Macro
Strong May Jobs Report Adds 172,000, Pushing 10-Year Yield to 4.52% and Delaying Fed Cuts
The U.S. economy added 172,000 nonfarm jobs in May, significantly exceeding expectations and causing a sharp repricing in Federal Reserve rate expectations.
Macro
Fed hike odds hit 63% as May jobs data and 4.2% CPI forecast upend 2026 rate-cut bets
CME FedWatch Tool shows 63% probability of a 25 basis-point Fed rate hike by October 2026 as of June 9, 2026.